Manning vs. PHI 7500
I am surer of nothing this week than the fact that ODB will have a HUGE day. That being the case, Manning is my favorite play this week. $7500 price tag for Manning this week facing a defense that is 3rd to last and DEAD last in the league in points allowed to opposing QBs and WRs respectively throwing to a SUPERSTAR WR with a chip on his shoulder sounds like a good deal to me. On top of that, the Giants also cannot stop anyone (31st vs. QBs) so this could, and likely will, turn into a full blown shootout. Vegas seems to agree as the O/U is set at 51 with the Giants only a -3.5 favorite. Manning looked awful last week as he is wanton to do about every 3 or 4 weeks but the good news is that his ownership will be lower because of it and he gets ODB back this week. Obviously I am stacking him with ODB despite the high price tag and the likely high ownership on ODB. MANNING IS MY TOP PLAY OF THE WEEK.
Bortles @ HOU 8100
Bortles has had a tremendous run over the past 5 weeks and has even stayed under the radar a little in doing so. His defense is bad so the Jags seemingly always fall behind early and then try to throw their way back into games, which they often do. It has happened over and over this season and I expect it to happen again on Sunday in Houston. Houston does have a top 10 defense vs. opposing QBs and WRs, but the sheer volume Bortles is going to put up will likely outweigh the bad defensive matchup. Bortles has thrown 2 or more TDs in 8 of 10 games and 3 or more in 3 of 4 games. Stack Bortles with Robinson or Hurns depending on how much differentiation you can get into the rest of your lineup. Hurns is cheaper and will be lower owned but still has the high ceiling you want for GPPs while Robinson is obviously one of the tops weekly plays at WR but will be more highly owned and will cost you significantly more. I expect ownership on Bortles to be only moderately high because of the seemingly bad matchup. BORTLES IS MY NUMBER FOUR PLAY OF THE WEEK.
Brees @ ATL 8400
Many, including myself, thought that Brees may go the way of Peyton Manning after suffering the same injury to his foot two weeks ago. Brees obviously had other plans. Last week he put to rest any questions there may have been about whether or not he was healthy enough to be effective when he hung 412 yards and 3TDs on the Jaguars. Brees has thrown 2+ TDs in 7 of 8 games and 3+ TDs in 5 of 8 games and this week will finally get his shot at the division rival Falcons after missing the first meeting between these two teams this season. The O/U in this game has been set at 53 points which is 6 full points higher than every other game except for the NYG@PHI game (51 points). There will be blood! Brees is likely to be one of the main catalysts for what will undoubtedly turn into a track meet very quickly. ATL is better on defense than Brees’ recent foes which only means he won’t throw 7 TDs again, but 5 doesn’t seem out of the question does it? BREES IS MY SECOND FAVORITE PLAY OF THE WEEK.
Hoyer vs. JAC 6900
Brian Hoyer is out of the concussion protocol and is back at the helm of one of the league’s most potent offenses…well, no he’s not…but he does have DeAndre Hopkins! And he is also playing the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags are 29th in the league in points allowed to opposing QBs and they can put up some points on offense as well which will require the Texans to put up at least 25 points to win. Only two times this season have the Jaguars lost to a team scoring less than 30 points. When Hoyer faced the Jags in Week 6 he threw for 293 yards and 3 TDs. To nobody’s surprise Hopkins was his main target and had his biggest game of the season with 10 catches for 148 yards and 2 TDs. Is there any question who you are stacking Hoyer with if you are using him? While Hopkins will have very high ownership, Hoyer should provide some nice differentiation for your GPP lineups HOYER IS MY THIRD FAVORITE PLAY OF THE WEEK.
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